1422 Elbridge Payne Road #250, Chesterfield, MO 63017
Phone: 217/251-3659; e-mail: editor@ruralmarketingnews.com
ACCUWEATHER: ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM HOT SPOTS FOR JULY
Source: AccuWeather.com news release

AccuWeather.com reports while July is typically a lame month for tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin, there are some perennial trouble spots.

The favored areas tend to expand eastward across the tropical Atlantic later in the month. However, it is the western end that often leads to some early-season trouble.

Near shore waters of the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean and the southwest Atlantic are areas most likely to experience tropical cyclone formation during July.

Fortunately, according to NOAA's National Hurricane Center, the chance of a tropical storm is generally less than 10 percent for any spot the southwest Atlantic this month. The chance of a hurricane is less than 2 percent for the same month, same area.

There has never been an intense hurricane during July, but the risk increases substantially moving forward through August with a peak in September.

Don't Let Your Guard Down
The big problem with July storms, similar to June is that we don't often have much notice, because of their close proximity to land in the first place.

The key to avoid being surprised in the tropical islands and mainland coastal areas is to follow along tropical weather discussions, such as those found on AccuWeather.com.

Sometimes clusters of thunderstorms can interact with another feature from one day to the next, leading to modest development.

On a given day beginning in June through October, there is usually at least one feature worth monitoring in no matter how calm the weather pattern is.

As many of you know, it doesn't always take a hurricane or even a tropical storm to cause a cluster of damaging thunderstorms, life-threatening flooding and dangerous waves. A mere, weak disturbance can flood your street or flip over your boat.

July Does Not a Season Make
Generally, July is not an indicator of how the rest of the hurricane season will be.

July, more specifically, the last part of July is just on the edge of the traditional ramp-up period for the Cape Verde season.

In the Atlantic, the average number of named tropical systems during July is one or less. (The eastern Pacific's numbers typically run ahead of the Atlantic by a factor of about 1.5.)

While last year may have seemed to have been a dud as far as the Atlantic Hurricane season was concerned, there were 19 named storms, 12 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes.

There was only one named tropical system born in July last year; Bonnie.

Bonnie maxed out as a tropical storm and traveled from just north of Haiti to southeastern Louisiana spanning July 22 to 25.

Hurricane Alex, born on June 25, reached category 2 status prior to making final landfall on July 1 in northeastern Mexico.

Only the two of the 19 centers of circulation of the tropical systems, Bonnie and Hermine, crossed into U.S. soil.

If you are comparing what happened last year, thus far we've already reached the numbers and are running close to average.

The greatest danger from the early-season critters, which tend to be on the weaker end of the hurricane spectrum, is flooding rain.